The vast majority of people on sex offender registries are not community rapists nor child abductors, and if you gathered 10,000 pedophiles in a room, the number who would even entertain the thought of abducting a child could be counted on one hand. (Most cases involve sexualized affection, not aggression, and most would never intentionally do a child harm.) Those few who would tend to serve long sentences when caught and don't end up in the community because of this, B) The odds are more than 100/1 that if a child is abducted or harmed, it will be at the hands of someone not on that list. More than 99% of the danger comes from your OTHER next-door neighbors and community members. In other words, those houses without the pumpkin sticker are more dangerous to your child by a factor of more than 100 times. C) The dubious logic of such campaigns aside, what about November 1st? It's not as though children come out on Halloween and then go into hibernation the other 364 days of the year. If someone is intent on harming a child, ramping up pretend supervision for one night of the year accomplishes absolutely nothing. D) Most of all, if children are being accompanied on Halloween night AS THEY SHOULD BE, it makes no difference who they're getting candy from. Worse yet, such community campaigns may give marginal parents a false sense of security.
The real dangers on Halloween
So what are the real dangers on Halloween? The actual risks are much more down to earth:
1. Pedestrian deaths: When you mix a favorite party holiday for grown-ups with masses of children walking the streets after dark, bad things can happen. Child pedestrian deaths spike more than 4 times over on Halloween compared to what they are at other times of the year.
2. Fire: Halloween decorations and children in heavy costumes can result in a slight uptick in fire-related accidents or home fires.
3. Other crime: Children are often targeted for theft, physical assaults, bullying, or other crimes / harassment by older kids or even adults.
4. Drunk driving: If you're going to be out on the road with your children, beware of all the other drivers, some of whom may have started their Halloween party early by drinking.
Safe trick or treating guidelines are discussed in the next section. Here are some other safety issues on Halloween: